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La Liga · Spain
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo La Coruna host Levante in the La Liga (Spain) on 16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Deportivo La Coruna to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Levante.
Going into the match, Deportivo La Coruna had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Levante had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10 and 6 of Levante's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo La Coruna averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Levante averaged 0.90 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Deportivo La Coruna and 1.22 from Levante. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%, against 46%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo La Coruna (green) and Levante (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | LLDDL | 1.50 | 1.60 | 90% | 50% |
| Levante | DLLDW | 1.60 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.