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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Racing Ferrol prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo La Coruña II host Racing Ferrol in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo La Coruña II 0–1 Racing Ferrol.
Going into the match, Deportivo La Coruña II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Racing Ferrol had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo La Coruña II's last 10 and 5 of Racing Ferrol's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo La Coruña II averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Racing Ferrol averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Deportivo La Coruña II and 0.91 from Racing Ferrol. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 32%, against 32%, 28% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña II | LWDWD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Racing Ferrol | WLWWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Racing Ferrol Win | 39% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.