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Primera División · Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Garcilaso host Sport Huancayo in the Primera División (Peru) on 10 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 Sport Huancayo.
Going into the match, Deportivo Garcilaso had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Sport Huancayo had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Deportivo Garcilaso's last 10 and 6 of Sport Huancayo's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Garcilaso averaged 2.64 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sport Huancayo averaged 1.38 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.83 from Sport Huancayo. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 16%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Garcilaso (green) and Sport Huancayo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | WLWWW | 1.80 | 0.60 | 30% | 40% |
| Sport Huancayo | WWWWL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Sport Huancayo 2–1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.