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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Deportivo de La Coruña W vs Atletico Madrid W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo de La Coruña W host Atletico Madrid W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo de La Coruña W 1–2 Atletico Madrid W.
Going into the match, Deportivo de La Coruña W had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Atletico Madrid W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Deportivo de La Coruña W's last 10 and 5 of Atletico Madrid W's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo de La Coruña W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Atletico Madrid W averaged 1.67 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Deportivo de La Coruña W and 1.59 from Atletico Madrid W. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 45%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo de La Coruña W (green) and Atletico Madrid W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo de La Coruña W | DWLDL | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Atletico Madrid W | LWLWL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Atletico Madrid W Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.