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Liga Pro · Ecuador
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Cuenca host Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 16 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Cuenca 2–1 Tecnico Universitario.
Going into the match, Deportivo Cuenca had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Tecnico Universitario had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Deportivo Cuenca's last 10 and 5 of Tecnico Universitario's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Cuenca averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Tecnico Universitario averaged 0.46 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Deportivo Cuenca and 0.74 from Tecnico Universitario. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 24%, against 50%, 28% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Cuenca (green) and Tecnico Universitario (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | DDDLW | 0.50 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
| Tecnico Universitario | LDWLL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Deportivo Cuenca
- 2 May 2026 · Deportivo Cuenca 2–1 Tecnico Universitario
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Deportivo Cuenca Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.