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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Deportivo Capiata vs Benjamín Aceval prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Capiata host Benjamín Aceval in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 12 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Capiata 3–1 Benjamín Aceval.
Going into the match, Deportivo Capiata had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Benjamín Aceval had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Deportivo Capiata's last 10 and 8 of Benjamín Aceval's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Capiata averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Benjamín Aceval averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Deportivo Capiata and 1.34 from Benjamín Aceval. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 35%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Capiata (green) and Benjamín Aceval (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Capiata | DDLLL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Benjamín Aceval | LLWLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Jul 2026 · Benjamín Aceval 1–1 Deportivo Capiata
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Benjamín Aceval Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.