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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino de Merlo prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Camioneros host Argentino de Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Camioneros 3–2 Argentino de Merlo.
Going into the match, Deportivo Camioneros had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Argentino de Merlo had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Deportivo Camioneros's last 10 and 4 of Argentino de Merlo's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Camioneros averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Argentino de Merlo averaged 0.79 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Deportivo Camioneros and 0.85 from Argentino de Merlo. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 49%, 30% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Camioneros | DLLLL | 0.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Argentino de Merlo | LLLWL | 0.50 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Argentino de Merlo 0–0 Deportivo Camioneros
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.53 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Deportivo Camioneros Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.