Home › League stats › Primera A › Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
Primera A · Colombia
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Cali host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Colombia) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Cali 3–1 Alianza Valledupar.
Going into the match, Deportivo Cali had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Alianza Valledupar had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Deportivo Cali's last 10 and 5 of Alianza Valledupar's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Cali averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Alianza Valledupar averaged 0.67 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Deportivo Cali and 0.52 from Alianza Valledupar. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 8%, against 63%, 25% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Cali (green) and Alianza Valledupar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | WWWWD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Alianza Valledupar | WLWWL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 May 2026 · Deportivo Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Deportivo Cali Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.