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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Deportivo Alavés W vs Sevilla W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Alavés W host Sevilla W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Alavés W 1–1 Sevilla W.
Going into the match, Deportivo Alavés W had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Sevilla W had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of Deportivo Alavés W's last 6 and 2 of Sevilla W's last 10; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Alavés W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Sevilla W averaged 0.67 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Deportivo Alavés W and 0.85 from Sevilla W. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 35%, against 37%, 28% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Alavés W (green) and Sevilla W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés W | LLLWL | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0% | 17% |
| Sevilla W | DLWLL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.