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Primera Premier · Mexico
Deportiva Venados vs Pioneros de Cancún prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportiva Venados host Pioneros de Cancún in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportiva Venados 1–4 Pioneros de Cancún.
Going into the match, Deportiva Venados had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Pioneros de Cancún had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Deportiva Venados's last 10 and 4 of Pioneros de Cancún's last 6; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportiva Venados averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Pioneros de Cancún averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Deportiva Venados and 2.30 from Pioneros de Cancún. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 52%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportiva Venados (green) and Pioneros de Cancún (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva Venados | LDDWD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Pioneros de Cancún | WWWWL | 2.50 | 1.17 | 67% | 83% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.