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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Deportiva Minera vs La Nucía prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportiva Minera host La Nucía in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportiva Minera 2–0 La Nucía.
Going into the match, Deportiva Minera had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. La Nucía had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Deportiva Minera's last 10 and 3 of La Nucía's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportiva Minera averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home La Nucía averaged 0.83 scored and 0.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Deportiva Minera and 1.05 from La Nucía. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 30% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportiva Minera (green) and La Nucía (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva Minera | LDDWW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
| La Nucía | WWWWL | 1.30 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Deportiva Minera Win | 35% | 2.55 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.