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Primera A · Colombia
Deportes Tolima vs Chico prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportes Tolima host Chico in the Primera A (Colombia) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Deportes Tolima Win — Deportes Tolima to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportes Tolima 0–0 Chico.
Going into the match, Deportes Tolima had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Chico had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportes Tolima's last 10 and 3 of Chico's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportes Tolima averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Chico averaged 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Deportes Tolima and 0.74 from Chico. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 71%, 19% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportes Tolima (green) and Chico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | DDLLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Chico | WLLWW | 1.00 | 1.80 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Deportes Tolima Win | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.