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Primera B · Colombia
Depor FC vs Real Cundinamarca prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Depor FC host Real Cundinamarca in the Primera B (Colombia) on 2 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Real Cundinamarca to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Depor FC 1–2 Real Cundinamarca.
Going into the match, Depor FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Real Cundinamarca had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Depor FC's last 10 and 7 of Real Cundinamarca's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Depor FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Cundinamarca averaged 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Depor FC and 1.73 from Real Cundinamarca. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 57%, against 23%, 28% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Depor FC (green) and Real Cundinamarca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | LLWWW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Real Cundinamarca | WWWLW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Real Cundinamarca Win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Real Cundinamarca HT & FT | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| 1-1 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.