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Primera B · Colombia
Depor FC vs Real Cartagena prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Depor FC host Real Cartagena in the Primera B (Colombia) on 8 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Real Cartagena Win — Real Cartagena to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Depor FC 2–2 Real Cartagena.
Going into the match, Depor FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Real Cartagena had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Depor FC's last 10 and 5 of Real Cartagena's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Depor FC averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Real Cartagena averaged 1.27 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Depor FC and 2.23 from Real Cartagena. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 59%, against 18%, 25% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Depor FC (green) and Real Cartagena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Depor FC | LLLWW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 40% | 70% |
| Real Cartagena | LDDLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Real Cartagena Win | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Real Cartagena HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.