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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender vs Club Brugge II prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dender host Club Brugge II in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dender 3–0 Club Brugge II.
Going into the match, Dender had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Club Brugge II had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Dender's last 10 and 6 of Club Brugge II's last 9; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dender averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Club Brugge II averaged 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Dender and 1.05 from Club Brugge II. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dender (green) and Club Brugge II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | WWWWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 10% | 40% |
| Club Brugge II | DDLWW | 2.00 | 1.44 | 67% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Dender Win | 63% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.