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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.36Market probability 69%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Den Bosch host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Den Bosch 1–1 Dordrecht.

Going into the match, Den Bosch had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Dordrecht had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 27 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Den Bosch's last 10 and 7 of Dordrecht's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Den Bosch averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Dordrecht averaged 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Den Bosch and 1.26 from Dordrecht. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Den Bosch (green) and Dordrecht (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence63% – 37%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals30% – 70%
Overall strength42% – 57%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Den BoschLWLLL1.601.8070%60%
DordrechtWLLLL1.402.7070%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals77%1.20
Double Chance 1276%1.25
BTTS Yes69%1.36
BTTS 1st Half - No69%1.36
Under 11.5 Corners54%1.73
Den Bosch Win51%1.85
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals51%1.80
Den Bosch HT & FT33%2.88

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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