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Liga Pro · Ecuador
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Delfin SC host Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro (Ecuador) on 9 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Delfin SC 3–2 Mushuc Runa SC.
Going into the match, Delfin SC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Mushuc Runa SC had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Delfin SC's last 10 and 4 of Mushuc Runa SC's last 10; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Delfin SC averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Mushuc Runa SC averaged 1.08 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Delfin SC and 0.94 from Mushuc Runa SC. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 39%, 31% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Delfin SC (green) and Mushuc Runa SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | DWDLW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 10% |
| Mushuc Runa SC | DLDDW | 0.90 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Aug 2026 · Mushuc Runa SC 1–0 Delfin SC
- 3 May 2026 · Delfin SC 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Delfin SC Win | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.