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Copa Ecuador · Ecuador
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Delfin SC host Independiente del Valle in the Copa Ecuador (Ecuador) on 7 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Independiente del Valle Win — Independiente del Valle to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Delfin SC had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Independiente del Valle had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Delfin SC's last 10 and 7 of Independiente del Valle's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Delfin SC averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Independiente del Valle averaged 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Delfin SC and 2.48 from Independiente del Valle. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 70%, against 19%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Delfin SC (green) and Independiente del Valle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | DWDLW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 10% |
| Independiente del Valle | WDWLW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Independiente del Valle 3–2 Delfin SC
- 22 Apr 2026 · Delfin SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Independiente del Valle Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Independiente del Valle HT & FT | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.