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2. SNL · Slovenia
Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dekani host Dren Vrhnika in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dekani 1–0 Dren Vrhnika.
Going into the match, Dekani had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Dren Vrhnika had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Dekani's last 10 and 4 of Dren Vrhnika's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dekani averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Dren Vrhnika averaged 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Dekani and 0.82 from Dren Vrhnika. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dekani (green) and Dren Vrhnika (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani | LWWDD | 0.60 | 0.80 | 10% | 20% |
| Dren Vrhnika | DLWDW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Dekani Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Dekani HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.