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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Degerfors IF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Degerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF.
Going into the match, Degerfors IF had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Kalmar FF had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Degerfors IF's last 10 and 1 of Kalmar FF's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Degerfors IF averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Kalmar FF averaged 1.07 scored and 1.33 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Degerfors IF and 1.18 from Kalmar FF. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 36%, against 32%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Degerfors IF (green) and Kalmar FF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | DDLLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Kalmar FF | LDLLL | 0.90 | 1.60 | 10% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Kalmar FF 2–1 Degerfors IF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.