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Torneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina
Defensores Glew vs SAT Moreno prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Defensores Glew host SAT Moreno in the Torneo Promocional Amateur (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Defensores Glew to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Defensores Glew 1–1 SAT Moreno.
Going into the match, Defensores Glew had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 3. SAT Moreno had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Defensores Glew's last 10 and 4 of SAT Moreno's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Defensores Glew averaged 2.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home SAT Moreno averaged 1.33 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Defensores Glew and 0.93 from SAT Moreno. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 47%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Defensores Glew (green) and SAT Moreno (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Glew | DDDWW | 2.30 | 0.30 | 30% | 50% |
| SAT Moreno | DDLLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Defensores Glew 2–0 SAT Moreno
- 6 Jun 2026 · SAT Moreno 1–0 Defensores Glew