Home › League stats › Liga Profesional Argentina › Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Defensa Y Justicia host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Defensa Y Justicia to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Defensa Y Justicia 3–0 San Lorenzo.
Going into the match, Defensa Y Justicia had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. San Lorenzo had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Defensa Y Justicia's last 10 and 1 of San Lorenzo's last 10; 5 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Defensa Y Justicia averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home San Lorenzo averaged 0.55 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Defensa Y Justicia and 0.63 from San Lorenzo. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 17%, against 46%, 31% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Defensa Y Justicia (green) and San Lorenzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | DWLWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| San Lorenzo | LDWLD | 0.40 | 0.80 | 10% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Defensa Y Justicia Win | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.