Home › League stats › Non League Premier - Isthmian › Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley
Non League Premier - Isthmian · England
Dartford vs Wingate & Finchley prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dartford host Wingate & Finchley in the Non League Premier - Isthmian (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dartford 2–1 Wingate & Finchley.
Going into the match, Dartford had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Wingate & Finchley had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dartford's last 10 and 7 of Wingate & Finchley's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dartford averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.58 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Dartford and 1.19 from Wingate & Finchley. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dartford (green) and Wingate & Finchley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartford | LLWWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Wingate & Finchley | LDWWD | 1.70 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Dartford Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Dartford HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.