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K3 League · South Korea
Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dangjin Citizen host Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League (South Korea) on 4 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dangjin Citizen 2–3 Gyeongju HNP.
Going into the match, Dangjin Citizen had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Gyeongju HNP had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dangjin Citizen's last 10 and 5 of Gyeongju HNP's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dangjin Citizen averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gyeongju HNP averaged 1.27 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Dangjin Citizen and 1.41 from Gyeongju HNP. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dangjin Citizen (green) and Gyeongju HNP (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dangjin Citizen | WLLDW | 2.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Gyeongju HNP | WWWDW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Gyeongju HNP 2–2 Dangjin Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.54 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Gyeongju HNP Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Gyeongju HNP HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.