Home › League stats › National League - South › Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town
National League - South · England
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hemel Hempstead Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dagenham & Redbridge host Hemel Hempstead Town in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dagenham & Redbridge 0–0 Hemel Hempstead Town.
Going into the match, Dagenham & Redbridge had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Hemel Hempstead Town had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Dagenham & Redbridge's last 10 and 6 of Hemel Hempstead Town's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dagenham & Redbridge averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Hemel Hempstead Town averaged 1.11 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Dagenham & Redbridge and 0.54 from Hemel Hempstead Town. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 21%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | LWWDL | 1.00 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | WLDDD | 0.90 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Win | 47% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.