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K3 League · South Korea
Daejeon Korail vs Gangneung City prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Daejeon Korail host Gangneung City in the K3 League (South Korea) on 2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Daejeon Korail 2–1 Gangneung City.
Going into the match, Daejeon Korail had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Gangneung City had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Daejeon Korail's last 10 and 7 of Gangneung City's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Daejeon Korail averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Gangneung City averaged 1.20 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Daejeon Korail and 0.70 from Gangneung City. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 16%, against 51%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Daejeon Korail (green) and Gangneung City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Korail | LWWLD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Gangneung City | LDWWD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Gangneung City 0–3 Daejeon Korail
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Daejeon Korail Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.78 |
| Daejeon Korail HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.