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K3 League · South Korea
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Daejeon Korail host Dangjin Citizen in the K3 League (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.71, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Daejeon Korail 0–1 Dangjin Citizen.
Going into the match, Daejeon Korail had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Dangjin Citizen had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Daejeon Korail's last 10 and 7 of Dangjin Citizen's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Daejeon Korail averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Dangjin Citizen averaged 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Daejeon Korail and 1.14 from Dangjin Citizen. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 28%, against 52%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Daejeon Korail (green) and Dangjin Citizen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Korail | WLWWL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Dangjin Citizen | LWLLD | 2.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Dangjin Citizen 0–1 Daejeon Korail
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Daejeon Korail Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Daejeon Korail HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.