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K League 1 · South Korea
Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Daejeon Citizen host Jeonbuk Motors in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Going into the match, Daejeon Citizen had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 15. Jeonbuk Motors had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Daejeon Citizen's last 10 and 7 of Jeonbuk Motors's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Daejeon Citizen averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jeonbuk Motors averaged 1.08 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Daejeon Citizen and 1.37 from Jeonbuk Motors. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Daejeon Citizen (green) and Jeonbuk Motors (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | DWDWW | 2.30 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
| Jeonbuk Motors | DWLDW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jul 2026 · Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 Daejeon Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.