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Super Liga · Moldova
Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dacia-Buiucani host Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga (Moldova) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sheriff Tiraspol Win — Sheriff Tiraspol to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dacia-Buiucani 2–5 Sheriff Tiraspol.
Going into the match, Dacia-Buiucani had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Sheriff Tiraspol had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Dacia-Buiucani's last 10 and 6 of Sheriff Tiraspol's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dacia-Buiucani averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 1.21 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Dacia-Buiucani and 1.76 from Sheriff Tiraspol. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 55%, against 12%, 20% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dacia-Buiucani | WWLDD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | WWDLW | 2.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Sheriff Tiraspol 1–0 Dacia-Buiucani
- 3 May 2026 · Dacia-Buiucani 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol
- 21 Apr 2026 · Dacia-Buiucani 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Sheriff Tiraspol HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| 0-2 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.