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Primera B · Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
D. Puerto Montt host San Luis in the Primera B (Chile) on 12 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: D. Puerto Montt 0–1 San Luis.
Going into the match, D. Puerto Montt had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. San Luis had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of D. Puerto Montt's last 10 and 5 of San Luis's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home D. Puerto Montt averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home San Luis averaged 1.27 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from D. Puerto Montt and 1.38 from San Luis. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 51%, against 32%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between D. Puerto Montt (green) and San Luis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto Montt | LLLWL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| San Luis | WWWWW | 1.50 | 0.70 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · San Luis 4–1 D. Puerto Montt
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.72 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| San Luis Win | 39% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.