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Cyprus vs Latvia prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cyprus host Latvia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cyprus 2–1 Latvia.
Going into the match, Cyprus had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Latvia had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with 2 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Cyprus's last 5 and 2 of Latvia's last 5; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cyprus averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Latvia averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 58% for Cyprus, 25% for the draw and 16% for Latvia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cyprus (green) and Latvia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Sep 2026 · Latvia 0–0 Cyprus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Cyprus Win | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.