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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Curzon Ashton vs Redcar Athletic prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Curzon Ashton host Redcar Athletic in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Curzon Ashton 3–1 Redcar Athletic.
Going into the match, Curzon Ashton had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Redcar Athletic had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Curzon Ashton's last 10 and 5 of Redcar Athletic's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Curzon Ashton averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Redcar Athletic averaged 2.13 scored and 0.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Curzon Ashton and 1.47 from Redcar Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 39%, against 33%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Curzon Ashton (green) and Redcar Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | WWLWW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Redcar Athletic | WWDLW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.