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Liga Pro Serie B · Ecuador
Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cumbayá host Santo Domingo in the Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador) on 1 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cumbayá had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Santo Domingo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cumbayá's last 10 and 2 of Santo Domingo's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cumbayá averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Santo Domingo averaged 0.82 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Cumbayá and 0.72 from Santo Domingo. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 22%, against 50%, 28% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cumbayá (green) and Santo Domingo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumbayá | WWLLD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
| Santo Domingo | LWLWW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Sep 2026 · Santo Domingo 2–1 Cumbayá
- 13 Aug 2026 · Cumbayá 3–3 Santo Domingo
- 23 May 2026 · Santo Domingo 0–0 Cumbayá
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Cumbayá Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Cumbayá HT & FT | 32% | 2.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.