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Serie B · Brazil
Cuiaba vs Avai prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cuiaba host Avai in the Serie B (Brazil) on 11 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Cuiaba Win — Cuiaba to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cuiaba 0–1 Avai.
Going into the match, Cuiaba had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Avai had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Cuiaba's last 10 and 5 of Avai's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cuiaba averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Avai averaged 1.00 scored and 1.84 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Cuiaba and 0.72 from Avai. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 21%, against 56%, 27% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cuiaba (green) and Avai (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Avai 1–0 Cuiaba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Cuiaba Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.