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Primera A · Colombia
Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cucuta host Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A (Colombia) on 4 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cucuta 4–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Going into the match, Cucuta had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Deportivo Pereira had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cucuta's last 10 and 6 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cucuta averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Deportivo Pereira averaged 0.70 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Cucuta and 0.73 from Deportivo Pereira. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 21%, against 54%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cucuta (green) and Deportivo Pereira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | WLLDL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Deportivo Pereira | LDDLL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Cucuta Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.