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CONCACAF Nations League · International
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cuba host St. Kitts and Nevis in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 5 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cuba 2–2 St. Kitts and Nevis.
Going into the match, Cuba had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. St. Kitts and Nevis had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3, with 8 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Cuba's last 3 and 2 of St. Kitts and Nevis's last 3; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cuba averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home St. Kitts and Nevis averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 56% for Cuba, 19% for the draw and 25% for St. Kitts and Nevis once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cuba (green) and St. Kitts and Nevis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuba | DWW | 2.67 | 1.00 | 33% | 67% |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | DWW | 2.67 | 1.33 | 67% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Oct 2026 · St. Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Cuba Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.