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Liga III - Serie 6 · Romania
CSM Targu Jiu vs Unirea Bascov prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CSM Targu Jiu host Unirea Bascov in the Liga III - Serie 6 (Romania) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, CSM Targu Jiu had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Unirea Bascov had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of CSM Targu Jiu's last 10 and 4 of Unirea Bascov's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSM Targu Jiu averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Unirea Bascov averaged 2.13 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from CSM Targu Jiu and 0.99 from Unirea Bascov. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 68%, 20% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CSM Targu Jiu (green) and Unirea Bascov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Targu Jiu | WLDDW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Unirea Bascov | DWWLL | 1.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · CSM Targu Jiu 3–1 Unirea Bascov
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| CSM Targu Jiu Win | 68% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.79 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.