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Liga II · Romania
CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CSM Satu Mare host Metalul Buzău in the Liga II (Romania) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău.
Going into the match, CSM Satu Mare had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 17. Metalul Buzău had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of CSM Satu Mare's last 10 and 4 of Metalul Buzău's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSM Satu Mare averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Metalul Buzău averaged 1.91 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.51 goals from CSM Satu Mare and 1.32 from Metalul Buzău. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 56%, against 21%, 26% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 31%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CSM Satu Mare (green) and Metalul Buzău (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Satu Mare | DLDDL | 0.50 | 1.70 | 40% | 20% |
| Metalul Buzău | WWWDL | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Metalul Buzău Win | 51% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Metalul Buzău HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga II matches that day
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 17 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.56 · FT 0–1 - Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: Concordia Win @ 1.40 - Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 0–2 - CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 · FT 1–0 - Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.63 - Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București · 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · Liga II
Published pick: Double Chance 1X