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Cup · Russia
CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CSKA Moscow host FC Rostov in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is CSKA Moscow Win — CSKA Moscow to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CSKA Moscow 4–0 FC Rostov.
Going into the match, CSKA Moscow had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. FC Rostov had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of CSKA Moscow's last 10 and 3 of FC Rostov's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSKA Moscow averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FC Rostov averaged 1.67 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from CSKA Moscow and 1.03 from FC Rostov. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CSKA Moscow (green) and FC Rostov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | WWLWD | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
| FC Rostov | WLLWW | 0.90 | 1.30 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Sep 2026 · FC Rostov 2–0 CSKA Moscow
- 8 Aug 2026 · CSKA Moscow 0–0 FC Rostov
- 21 Apr 2026 · CSKA Moscow 1–1 FC Rostov
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| CSKA Moscow Win | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.