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CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 3–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

CSKA Moscow host Arsenal Tula in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: CSKA Moscow 3–1 Arsenal Tula.

Going into the match, CSKA Moscow had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Arsenal Tula had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of CSKA Moscow's last 10 and 5 of Arsenal Tula's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSKA Moscow averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Arsenal Tula averaged 0.79 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.69 goals from CSKA Moscow and 1.15 from Arsenal Tula. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between CSKA Moscow (green) and Arsenal Tula (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form14% – 86%
Attack33% – 67%
Defence37% – 63%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals57% – 43%
Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
CSKA MoscowLWDWL1.301.3060%50%
Arsenal TulaWLDLL1.101.6050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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