Home › League stats › First League › CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia
First League · Bulgaria
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CSKA 1948 host CSKA Sofia in the First League (Bulgaria) on 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CSKA 1948 2–3 CSKA Sofia.
Going into the match, CSKA 1948 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. CSKA Sofia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of CSKA 1948's last 10 and 6 of CSKA Sofia's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSKA 1948 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home CSKA Sofia averaged 1.44 scored and 0.89 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from CSKA 1948 and 1.10 from CSKA Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CSKA 1948 (green) and CSKA Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | WWLWL | 1.70 | 0.90 | 70% | 50% |
| CSKA Sofia | DWWWD | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · CSKA Sofia 1–1 CSKA 1948
- 8 May 2026 · CSKA 1948 0–1 CSKA Sofia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.90 |
| CSKA Sofia Win | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.