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First League · Bulgaria
CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CSKA 1948 host Botev Plovdiv in the First League (Bulgaria) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, CSKA 1948 had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Botev Plovdiv had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of CSKA 1948's last 10 and 3 of Botev Plovdiv's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CSKA 1948 averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Botev Plovdiv averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from CSKA 1948 and 1.04 from Botev Plovdiv. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 26%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CSKA 1948 (green) and Botev Plovdiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | WLWWL | 2.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Botev Plovdiv | WWWWW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.