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Primera División · Costa Rica
CS Herediano vs San Carlos prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CS Herediano host San Carlos in the Primera División (Costa Rica) on 11 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is CS Herediano Win — CS Herediano to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: CS Herediano 0–1 San Carlos.
Going into the match, CS Herediano had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 15. San Carlos had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of CS Herediano's last 10 and 4 of San Carlos's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CS Herediano averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home San Carlos averaged 0.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from CS Herediano and 0.82 from San Carlos. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 31%, against 55%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 32%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CS Herediano (green) and San Carlos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Herediano | LWLLW | 0.80 | 1.50 | 20% | 40% |
| San Carlos | WWWLW | 1.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · San Carlos 1–0 CS Herediano
- 19 Apr 2026 · CS Herediano 1–0 San Carlos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| CS Herediano Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.