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Premier League · England
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crystal Palace host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League (England) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest.
Going into the match, Crystal Palace had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Nottingham Forest had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Crystal Palace's last 10 and 3 of Nottingham Forest's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crystal Palace averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Nottingham Forest averaged 1.62 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.13 from Nottingham Forest. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crystal Palace (green) and Nottingham Forest (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | LDWLW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 40% | 70% |
| Nottingham Forest | LWDDL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.