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Crystal Palace vs Bristol City prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Crystal Palace host Bristol City in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Crystal Palace 0–2 Bristol City.

Going into the match, Crystal Palace had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 16. Bristol City had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 10 and 5 of Bristol City's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crystal Palace averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Bristol City averaged 1.42 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.26 from Bristol City. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 52%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Crystal Palace (green) and Bristol City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%
Attack41% – 59%
Defence43% – 57%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals35% – 65%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Crystal PalaceDWLWW1.801.6050%80%
Bristol CityWLLWW1.101.3050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X75%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes61%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals58%1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
Crystal Palace Win52%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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