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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 02:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cruz Azul W host Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 25 Oct 2026, 02:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cruz Azul W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Toluca W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Cruz Azul W's last 10 and 5 of Toluca W's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cruz Azul W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Toluca W averaged 2.38 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Cruz Azul W and 2.07 from Toluca W. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 52%, against 31%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul W | LWLLW | 1.00 | 2.10 | 20% | 40% |
| Toluca W | DWWLW | 2.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Toluca W Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX Femenil matches that day
- Juárez W vs Querétaro W · 25 Oct 2026, 02:06 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Pachuca W vs Necaxa W · 24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.42 - Atlético San Luis W vs América W · 24 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: BTTS 1st Half - No @ 1.22