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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Crusaders FC vs Larne prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crusaders FC host Larne in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Crusaders FC 0–3 Larne.
Going into the match, Crusaders FC had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Larne had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Crusaders FC's last 10 and 3 of Larne's last 10; 9 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crusaders FC averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Larne averaged 1.36 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Crusaders FC and 1.49 from Larne. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 49%, against 15%, 18% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crusaders FC (green) and Larne (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC | LWLWL | 1.50 | 1.80 | 70% | 90% |
| Larne | WWWWW | 1.50 | 0.60 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Larne Win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Larne HT & FT | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.