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Serie B · Brazil
Criciuma vs America Mineiro prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Criciuma host America Mineiro in the Serie B (Brazil) on 12 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Criciuma Win — Criciuma to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro.
Going into the match, Criciuma had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 14. America Mineiro had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Criciuma's last 10 and 2 of America Mineiro's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Criciuma averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home America Mineiro averaged 0.69 scored and 2.00 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Criciuma and 0.48 from America Mineiro. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 11%, against 70%, 21% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Criciuma (green) and America Mineiro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma | LWWLL | 0.90 | 1.40 | 20% | 30% |
| America Mineiro | LLLLL | 0.50 | 1.70 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Jun 2026 · America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Criciuma Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.