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Serie D - Girone D · Italy
Crema vs Città di Varese prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crema host Città di Varese in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Città di Varese Win — Città di Varese to win. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Crema 3–2 Città di Varese.
Going into the match, Crema had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 19. Città di Varese had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Crema's last 10 and 6 of Città di Varese's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crema averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Città di Varese averaged 1.50 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Crema and 1.87 from Città di Varese. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 47%. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crema (green) and Città di Varese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | LLLLD | 0.50 | 1.90 | 30% | 50% |
| Città di Varese | DWDLD | 1.60 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.