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League Two · England
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Crawley Town host Chesterfield in the League Two (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Crawley Town 2–2 Chesterfield.
Going into the match, Crawley Town had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Chesterfield had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Crawley Town's last 10 and 8 of Chesterfield's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Crawley Town averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Chesterfield averaged 1.10 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Crawley Town and 1.34 from Chesterfield. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Crawley Town (green) and Chesterfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | WLLLL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Chesterfield | WLDWW | 2.10 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Chesterfield Win | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.